ATP 250 Geneva quarterfinals
Fritz – Hurkacz: 22.05.2025 15:00 CEST
H2H: 5-1
Taylor Fritz has won three of his last five matches. This is his third appearance in Geneva. In his opening match, Fritz defeated Halys in straight sets. Last season in Geneva, Fritz lost against Michelsen in the second round.
Hubert Hurkacz has won four of his last five matches. Last week in Rome, the Pole had a decent run, reaching the quarterfinals. Paul eventually stopped him, losing in straight sets. This week in Geneva, Hurkacz won the opening round match against Cazaux in straight sets. In the second round, he easily defeated Rinderknech 6-4 6-1.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Frit is the favourite in this matchup, but we disagree. Hurkacz played his best tennis this week in Geneva. He served great under pressure against Rinderknech yesterday, and we expect him to keep this match close.
That being said, Hurkacz covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Hubert Hurkacz +1.5 games handicap @1.91 @bet365
Arnaldi – Djokovic: 22.05.2025 18:00 CEST
H2H: 1-0
Matteo Arnaldi has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Rome, Bautista-Agut upset Arnaldi in straight sets. This is his debut campaign in Geneva. Arnaldi defeated Gaston in three tight sets in the opening round after losing the opening set 6-7. The Italian won 6-3, 7-6 against Marozsan in the second round.
Novak Djokovic has lost three of his last five matches. So far this season, Djokovic has played three clay-court matches and lost two. This week in Geneva, the Serb defeated Fucsovics in straight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Arnaldi is the big underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. Earlier this season, Arnaldi defeated Djokovic in Madrid in straight sets. We believe he will put up a big fight and keep this match tight.
That being said, Arnaldi covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Matteo Arnaldi +3.5 games handicap @2.00 @bet365
Popyrin – Norrie: 22.05.2025 19:30 CEST
H2H: 0-1
Alexei Popyrin has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Rome, Popyrin lost in the third round against Medvedev in straight sets. This week in Geneva, he defeated Jarry in the opening round in three tight sets. In the second round, Popyrin defeated Fearnley in straight sets.
Cameron Norrie has won four of his last five matches. This week in Geneva, the Brit qualified for the main draw tournament by winning both qualifying matches in straight sets. Norrie won against Stricker 7-6 6-3 in the opening main draw round. Yesterday, in the second round, Machac retired mid-match against him.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, this will be a 50-50 matchup, but we disagree. Popyrin offered many breakpoints against Fearnley yesterday. Norrie is a better and more experienced player than Fearnley and will take advantage of those chances. We expect him to be a better player tonight.
That being said, Norrie winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Cameron Norrie winning @2.00 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Susan Mullane-USA TODAY Sports
