
The Grandstand experts make French Open third-round picks. Americans Sebastian Korda and Frances Tiafoe square off on Friday, while Italy’s Lorenzo Musetti takes on Argentina’s Mariano Navone.
(8) Lorenzo Musetti vs. Mariano Navone
Match Overview
- Italy’s Lorenzo Musetti (world No. 8) vs. Argentina’s Mariano Navone (world No. 97)
- Date: 30-05-2025
- Surface: Clay
- Grand Slam: Champion gets 2000 points
Why This Match Matters
Lorenzo Musetti has quietly gone about the business of positioning himself as a real force on clay over the last couple years, but in 2025 he’s not quite as quiet about it anymore. He’s a prohibitive favorite to reach the semis on the bottom half of he Roland Garros draw. There are no titles for Musetti this year yet, but that’s mostly because he keeps running into Carlos Alcaraz–who he’s slated to run into in the semis if they both make it that far.
Key Stats
- Musetti holds a 1-0 H2H record over Navone
- Navone has dispatched Americans Brandon Nakashima and Reilly Opelka this week
- The Italian has not dropped a set at Roland Garros this year
Odds and Prediction
Betting odds: Lorenzo Musetti (-800), Mariano Navone (+500)
Cheryl pick: Musetti in 3
Ricky pick: Musetti in 3
(15) Frances Tiafoe vs. (23) Sebastian Korda
Match Overview
- Americans Frances Tiafoe (world No. 16) and Sebastian Korda (world No. 23)
Why This Match Matters
Two of the top American players will square off on Friday; a spot in the round of 16 up for grabs. They are familiar foes, having met six other times. Korda is the more comfortable on clay of the two players, but Tiafoe has more weapons. This one has the makings of a match that could well go the distance.
Key Stats
- They have split previous wins at three each, but Korda has won their last three H2H
- Tiafoe got a tight three-set win over Korda the only time they played on clay
- Korda defeated Luciano Darderi and Jenson Brooksby to earn his spot in the third round
- Tiafoe posted easy straight-set wins over Roman Safiullin and Pablo Carreno Busta this week
Odds and Prediction
Betting odds: Frances Tiafoe (+100), Sebastian Korda (-130)
Cheryl pick: Korda in 5
Ricky pick: Tiafoe in 5